INTELLIGENCE ARCHIVE

Media Coverage

83 published analyses, newest first.

Interview of Lt. Gen Vinod G. Khandare (PVSM, AVSM, SM) Principle Advisor, Ministry of Defence, Govt. of India
MEDIA COVERAGEMAY 18, 2024
25

Interview of Lt. Gen Vinod G. Khandare (PVSM, AVSM, SM) Principle Advisor, Ministry of Defence, Govt. of India

Question: How does enhancing border infrastructure along the border align with India’s broader strategic goals and national security objectives? How do you assess the current state of border infrastructure development along the India-Tibet border, and what areas do you believe require further attention and investment? Answer: Under the Allocation of Business Rules, 1961, the External boundary is to be handled by MEA. And under the Transaction of Business Rules, the Ministry of Home Affairs takes care of the security of borders. And only when there is an unsettled border, the Armed Forces are deployed to secure the same. After 2020, It was impossible to solve the border issues for armed forces or security forces, hence diplomates are dealing with it. Both countries understand that going to war will not benefit anyone, except those who aim to see them regress in terms of economy and development. This is because both countries are currently developing and a war will only set them back by 20 years. The PRC uses the three warfare tactics which are Legal, Psychological and Media Warfare. An example of Legal Warfare can be Tibet where Chinese villages have been settled around the border known as Border Villages. By doing this, the PRC is trying to claim its ancestral connection in Tibet. Another example is the South China dispute, the construction of Artificial Islands in the 9-dash line which was earlier 11-dash line and around the areas close to the mainland. The motive is to take over the jurisdiction of the acquired land and its resources. The PRC is increasing the infrastructure around the border like the road and the railway line like G-318. Some 20 years back, Chinese infrastructure at the border was not good but now it has increased. They have built airfields near the northern and Eastern sectors and the heliports near the Central sector. Question: There came the recent move by the Indian Army to transform the Uttar Bharat (UB) Area, based in Bareilly, into a fully operational corps. Looking ahead, what would be the strategic objectives and priorities for the 18 Corps, and how do you envision its role evolving in response to emerging security dynamics? Answer: Due to the operational void in the independent Brigades of Pitroda and Garhwal, their status is now converted from static to operational. The number of troops are same and the addition made is to give them the authority to fight and protect the area, earlier the troops were in the static formation just to take care of the logistics of the area. They have been given the ‘RESERVE STATUS’. The Chinese reaction to this decision is that the Chinese are worried. Question: How can technological advancements in drones, UAVs, satellite imagery, etc. be leveraged to enhance border security and monitoring along the India-China border? Answer: Mountain Surveillance is a nightmare for civilians as well as for protectors. Fighting at these heights is time-consuming and troops-intensive. It is intense and tough, hence, technology is required for surveillance, Mobility, Communication and Protection. Americans gave us the concept of ISR- Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance but it should be first Surveillance, then Reconnaissance of the Stations, roads, etc, and finally Intelligence i.e., SRI. For surveillance Drones, Towers with Cameras and ground-based sensors are used. For Infrastructure, to build roads and convert Bridges into tunnels, tech is required. In any war or conflict bridges and roads are the first casualty. Currently, the roads of the village are built under the Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana and the Public Works Department and the Border Roads Organization build roads near the border areas, however, the construction of Roads near the border area should come under one Central agency for quick advancements. Technology is also needed for Weather Forecasting as Bad weather brings bad days and types of equipment are required to penetrate through fog and fight efficiently. Also, Engine Tech for Warfighting Military Hardware for all the different sectors of India. As India’s border has varied border conditions, hence, the hardware should be conditioned for the northern border to work efficiently in the extreme cold weather conditions. Another area where technology plays an important role is Digital Connectivity which should be available around the border for better connectivity. It is important to keep the better flow of information from higher leadership to the ground soldiers. Our PM Narender Modi said, “Border Village will be called as First Village instead of Last Village”. Then it should be treated as one. Commercial satellite communication would help these areas where communication is a challenge. People who live around the border area should be trained to protect their area. Niti Ayog mentioned that the districts with poor connectivity must be the priority to provide better connectivity. Also, technology plays a part in miniaturization, i.e., to reduce the size of antennas for easy transportation and installation at these high-altitude areas. Secondly, in India, we follow a system called L1 i.e., Lowest Bidder. But to suit the ever-changing nature of technology and requirements of the armed forces, it should be the ‘Lowest Bidder – Latest Tech – Secured Source’ (L1-T1-S1). Lastly, it is important to use technology that is clean from security threats, i.e., any technology coming from China or having any traces from China will be a security issue for us, so we should not use such technology. Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology have removed all such hardware or technology that had traces of being produced in China. Also, we need technology in firepower- artillery, guns, fighter jets. One area where India can improve is that there are no Private players that can complement Hindustan Aeronautics Limited in the production of Tejas. The Tejas has demand but only one facility manufactures the same. The supply of Tejas is less than its demand due to manufacturing constraints. In the Maritime domain, we need technology for better preparation. India’s Shipyard building companies can complement each other in manufacturing best-in-class vessels and not just fight each other for tenders. China

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement supporting Taiwan’s Inclusion as an Observer in World Health Organization Meetings
MEDIA COVERAGEMAY 17, 2024
26

Statement supporting Taiwan’s Inclusion as an Observer in World Health Organization Meetings

We strongly advocate for Taiwan’s inclusion as an observer in the World Health Organisation (WHO) meetings, activities, and mechanisms, particularly its participation in the World Health Assembly (WHA). The COVID-19 pandemic has emphasised the immediate requirement for a thorough and all-encompassing worldwide health network. Taiwan, due to its substantial contributions to global health security, plays a crucial role in this network. Integrating Taiwan is essential for closing the geographical divide in global health security and strengthening international collaboration to effectively tackle and respond to future health emergencies. So-called “Political concerns” (on behest of the Peoples’ Republic of China) had led Taiwan to its unfair exclusion from important World Health Organisation (WHO) meetings and mechanisms, despite its valuable contributions. This exclusion undermines the healthcare entitlement of 23 million Taiwanese and impedes international efforts to avoid, prepare for, and respond to global health emergencies. Taiwan’s absence from key mechanisms including the Global Digital Health Certification Network (GDHCN), the WHO Pathogen Access and Benefit-Sharing System (PABS), and the Global Pandemic Supply Chain and Logistics Network poses considerable obstacles in terms of international travel and pandemic response. These exclusions further exemplify the harmful consequences of Taiwan’s absence on global health security. We strongly advocate for the World Health Organisation (WHO) to recognise and appreciate the valuable contributions and extensive knowledge that Taiwan possesses in the field of public health. This can be achieved by granting Taiwan the status of an observer in the World Health Assembly (WHA) and other pertinent meetings and procedures. We urge the World Health Organisation (WHO) to give importance to responsibility and to invite Taiwan to participate as an observer. The inclusion of Taiwan is not only an issue of principle, but also a practical imperative for enhancing global health security and attaining universal health coverage.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement Welcoming UK Imposing Sanctions After Chinese-Backed Cyber-attacks
MEDIA COVERAGEMARCH 26, 2024
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Statement Welcoming UK Imposing Sanctions After Chinese-Backed Cyber-attacks

Red Lantern Analytica welcomes and expresses sincere appreciation for the resolute measures implemented by the United Kingdom in reaction to the concerning surge in cyber-attacks facilitated by the Chinese government. The implementation of sanctions on two Chinese nationals, and the company Wuhan Xiaoruizhi Science and Technology Company Ltd; unequivocally signifies that such egregious transgressions of global standards and cyber aggression shall not be accepted. State-sponsored cyber-attacks present a substantial peril to stability and security worldwide. These assaults jeopardize the reliability of digital infrastructure and compromise the privacy and security of organisations and individuals on an international scale. It is critical that the international community condemns these malicious activities in unison and holds those accountable. The proactive approach taken by the United Kingdom in implementing sanctions serves to emphasise its dedication to protecting cyberspace and repelling cyber threats. This resolute measure acts as a deterrent to individuals or entities desiring to partake in malevolent cyber endeavours without consequence. RLA strongly urges other countries to adopt similar measures in order to effectively combat the escalating threat posed by state-sponsored cyber-attacks. International cooperation and collaboration are imperative to efficiently address the ever-changing threat landscape and guarantee a digital environment that is secure and resilient for all individuals. As a collective, we must vigilantly combat the perils presented by malign cyber entities and safeguard the foundational principles of an internet that is unrestricted, transparent, and safe.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement condemning unnecessary comments from Chinese State-owned Media over Indian elections
MEDIA COVERAGEMARCH 18, 2024
28

Statement condemning unnecessary comments from Chinese State-owned Media over Indian elections

We unequivocally condemn the egregious interference by People’s Republic of PRC (PRC) officials in India’s internal affairs and the audacious remarks regarding India’s election environment and the Indian sovereign territory of Arunachal Pradesh. PRC’s persistent attempts to meddle in India’s domestic affairs are not only reprehensible but also indicative of a blatant disregard for international norms and principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity. The Indian democratic process stands as a testament to our commitment to upholding the principles of democracy, transparency, and accountability, unlike the authoritarianism of the PRC. A tyrannical country like PRC which has no understanding of people’s participation in electing leadership but rather imposes its decisions on its people, has no authority to comment on India’s pious democratic process. Any attempt to cast doubt on the integrity of India’s electoral system is not only unfounded but also disrespectful to the aspirations of the Indians. PRC’s delusional claims over Arunachal Pradesh are utterly absurd and will not be entertained by the Indian government or the Indian people. Furthermore, India’s sovereignty over Arunachal Pradesh is non-negotiable and indisputable and any attempt to question or challenge this fact is a clear affront to India’s territorial integrity. Arunachal Pradesh is an integral part of India and anyone’s malicious attempt to call it by cooked-up names will not change the truth. Also, Arunachal Pradesh doesn’t require any kind of recognition from any third party that is trying to meddle in India’s sovereign affairs. India remains committed to peaceful coexistence and the principles of international law. India is trying to bring peace and tranquillity to the Indo-Tibetan border but it is PRC’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) that time and again violates the 1996 agreement and led to this situation. PLA under the direction of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is not at all trustworthy and has time and again betrayed India’s trust. PRC’s belligerent actions then, and its continued provocative behaviour along the border now, serve as a stark reminder of its expansionist ambitions and disregard for peaceful coexistence. Finally, PRC which is heavily involved in disinformation and propaganda campaigns against other countries and regularly censors truth; has no right to comment on Indian media’s attention towards aggressive PRC We strongly urge the CCP, and its mouthpiece “The Global Times”, to refrain from any unrequired comments and reckless provocations against India.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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RLA Press Release – Recent Bangladesh Elections and its Implications for India-Bangladesh Relationship
MEDIA COVERAGEFEBRUARY 7, 2024
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RLA Press Release – Recent Bangladesh Elections and its Implications for India-Bangladesh Relationship

On 6 February, 2024 Red Lantern Analytica conducted a webinar titled “Recent Bangladesh Elections and its Implications for India-Bangladesh Relationship”. The expert speakers of the webinar included Dr. Ayanjit Sen, Associate Professor at Bennett University, Greater Noida, and Drona Bandyopadhyay, Assistant Professor at West Bengal Education Service. Dr. Ayanjit Sen commenced the session by describing the relations between India and Bangladesh as – Continuity and Stability. He said, “A stable & prosperous Bangladesh is in India’s interest. The relationship between India & Bangladesh has improved significantly under the leadership of Bangladesh PM Sheikh Hasina.” India considered the Bangladesh elections as an internal matter. He added that Indian PM Narendra Modi was the first to congratulate Bangladesh PM Sheikh Hasina on her victory in the recently concluded elections. On her part, PM Sheikh Hasina termed India as a great friend of Bangladesh. “India and Bangladesh stand together strongly under the Prime Ministers of both the nations,” he added. He further added that all the attempts of anti-India elements in Bangladesh to sour the relationship between the two nations have failed. Dr Sen also stated that the attempts to discredit Bangladesh’s elections have also failed as the elections took place successfully with the participation of a large number of candidates. Dr Sen also elaborated on initiatives taken by both India and Bangladesh to further strengthen the relationship between the nations, which included conducting trade in local currencies and ongoing talks between both countries regarding the Free Trade Agreement. He said that strengthening regional connectivity, defence cooperation and economic ties between India & Bangladesh are the best part of the relationship. “Both India and Bangladesh stand for regional peace, prosperity and stability,” he added. Professor Drona Bandyopadhyay said, “From Cuttack to Attock, we are part of one civilization. Indian-ness is prevalent across the South Asian region. Bangladesh was part of Bengal. The region has a glorious legacy of democratic struggle post-partition of India and also after 1971.” Commenting on the Bangladesh elections, he said that it was a contested election and a festival of democracy. He also elaborated on the electoral history of Bangladesh and how mass movements took place demanding free and fair elections. He drew a comparison between Pakistan and Bangladesh while describing the free and fair elections. He also cited the example of Imran Khan who was installed by the Pakistan Army as the PM of the country by rigging the elections and the people of Pakistan silently accepted the mandate of the Army. On the other hand, democracy is mature in Bangladesh and people always demand free, fair and participatory elections. “A large credit for this goes to the robust election commission of Bangladesh which is independent and has strong powers. There is no such mechanism in Pakistan where the Army is supreme,” he added. Prof. Bandyopadhyay condemned the electoral violence both in West Bengal and Bangladesh. He said this culture of violence during the elections needs to be stopped to further strengthen the roots of democracy in both regions. He further underlined the reason why the People’s Republic of China (PRC) wants Bangladesh to become part of the Belt and Road Initiative. It is due to the fact that Bangladesh is uniquely, geographically positioned as the gateway to Southeast Asia. He also noted that its stability, peace and prosperity are necessary for India’s northeastern region as well. If Bangladesh grows and prospers then the northeastern region and West Bengal will develop alongside. “India engages with Bangladesh & its constitution and not with Awami League or another party or stakeholder in the country,” he said. “Bangladesh always has had constitutional stability. Bangladeshis are mature enough and they have developed a big industrial state and their exports are also increasing,” he stated. “They have developed economically and they will develop politically too over time.” He concluded by saying, “Awami League and Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) can co-exist together and work together for the development and betterment of Bangladesh.” Following the guest speaker’s address, there was an in-depth Q&A session. Mr Siddartha Ghosh, senior member of Red Lantern Analytica, moderated the session. Ms Kritika Rajput, research associate at Red Lantern Analytica, delivered the vote of thanks. The session was closed thereafter.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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RLA Press Release – ‘Understanding Occupied Gilgit-Baltistan under Pakistan aided by the PRC’
MEDIA COVERAGEFEBRUARY 7, 2024
30

RLA Press Release – ‘Understanding Occupied Gilgit-Baltistan under Pakistan aided by the PRC’

On January 27, 2024 Red Lantern Analytica conducted a webinar titled ‘Understanding Occupied Gilgit-Baltisan under Pakistan aided by the PRC’. Amjad Ayub Mirza, Author and Human Rights Activist from Mirpur in PoJK and Aarti Tikoo Singh, Founder and Editor in Chief of The New Indian were the expert speakers of the webinar. Amjad Ayub Mirza started the session by saying, “Gilgit Baltistan and Pakistan Occupied Jammu & Kashmir are reaching the point of no return. The power has fallen into the hands of people in the form of Awami Action Committees. No political party in the region has the support of the masses,” he said. He elaborated on how masses in the region have been rebelling against the Pakistani establishment for the past month in the -10 degree temperature. He further added that there is no electricity, infrastructure, or drinking water in Gilgit Baltistan and Pakistan Occupied Jammu & Kashmir. Mr. Mirza asserted that the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor will not be successful. Aarti Tikoo Singh stated, “Gilgit Baltistan under Pakistan occupation is only a 75-year-old story.” She elaborated on how the Pakistan Army wiped out ethnic minorities of Pakistan-Occupied Jammu Kashmir in 1947. “It has maintained the same approach in the last 75 years”, she added. Aarti Tikoo Singh also highlighted that Gilgit Baltistan is the only Shia-majority region in Pakistan. While underlining the incidents of Shia massacres in the region in the last 75 years, she stated, “Around 23,000 Shias have been killed in Gilgit Baltistan”. Anti-Shia violence has increased after the Zia-ul-Haq era. Ms Singh also mentioned that Blasphemy laws are being used to target Shias and other minorities in Pakistan. On the major powers rivalry in the region, she said, “The interests of Pakistan Army, China and the USA have converged in the Gilgit Baltistan and Pakistan Occupied Jammu Kashmir.” Aarti Tikoo Singh stated that China is interested in the GB and PoJK region due to Gwadar Port and enhance China’s connectivity with rest of the world. She noted that the Pakistan Army in the region is only interested in its interests and filling its coffers and not ensuring in welfare of the people. “Pakistan gifted the Shaksgam Valley to China for the same reason,” she mentioned. Aarti Tikoo Singh also highlighted that because of the Pakistani Army’s policies, the country’s national debt has increased significantly and people are protesting for basic things like wheat. She further added, “Pakistan has achieved nothing through the CPEC”. Singh concluded by saying, “People of Gilgit Baltistan have been used as cannon fodder by the Pakistani Army, the USA and China. Nobody has thought about the welfare of the people of the region. The USA has never condemned the human rights violations of people of Gilgit Baltistan by Pakistan and China.” Following the guest speaker’s address, there was an in-depth Q&A session. Dr. J Jeganaathan, Associate Professor at the JNU moderated the session. Ms. Karneet, research associate at Red Lantern Analytica delivered the vote of Thanks. The session closed after the vote of thanks was given. The session closed after the vote of thanks was given.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement on Sri Lanka banning Chinese Research Vessels from Entering its Ports
MEDIA COVERAGEJANUARY 5, 2024
31

Statement on Sri Lanka banning Chinese Research Vessels from Entering its Ports

In the latest episode of CCP (Chinese Communist Party) induced warfare, India has been accused by the PRC (People’s Republic of China) of pressurising Sri Lanka to ban Chinese research vessels from entering its ports. The irksome reaction by the CCP was received soon after Sri Lanka informed India that it will not allow any Chinese research vessel to dock at Sri Lankan ports or operate within its Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) for a period of one year. The announcement came in just as Chinese scientific research vessel, Xiang Yang Hong 3, was planning to carry out deep water exploration in the southern Indian Ocean from January 5, 2024. The PRC was earlier permitted by Sri Lanka to operate its research ships, hydrographic vessels and ballistic missiles trackers to reach and survey the Indian Ocean Region, with at least 25 such ships having been operated in 2023 alone. However, their activity kept increasing, close to the eastern and western coastlines of India. Keeping in mind the CCP’s espionage history, India always remained vigilant of such movements. The CCP’s accusation of India putting pressure on Sri Lanka to ban their research ships is totally uncalled for as Sri Lanka, being a democratic republic nation, is independent to make decisions as to who should be given access to such strategic areas. Moreover, it is highly unlikely for the Sri Lankan government to forget what the CCP did to them – a full blown economic crisis caused by the CCP’s ‘Debt Trap Diplomacy’. PRC took advantage of Sri Lanka’s increasing economic burden in 2022 and became the second largest lender to Sri Lanka with the ultimate goal of holding its economy hostage by increasing interest rates and occupying strategic natural resources in lieu of unpaid debt. The port sites of Hambantota and Colombo have also been leased to the PRC for a hundred years. PRC always had expansionist goals along the Indian Ocean region and it hides under the garb of sending “scientific research vessels” in order to further its aims of surveillance and setting military bases at foreign ports. Red Lantern Analytica welcomes the positive move by Sri Lanka authorities to ban these CCP fuelled ‘spy ships’ from surveying the Indian Ocean and looks forward to the global leaders devising plans of collaboration to counter the increasing assertiveness of the PRC.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Press Release – India’s Neighbourhood: The Road ahead
MEDIA COVERAGEDECEMBER 21, 2023
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Press Release – India’s Neighbourhood: The Road ahead

On December 19th, 2023, Red Lantern Analytica conducted a lecture titled ‘India’s Neighbourhood: The Road Ahead’. Dr. Happymon Jacob, an Associate Professor and the founder of the Council for Strategic and Defense Research, was the expert speaker of the lecture. “India has over 15,000 kilometres of land border out of which it shares 7,000 kilometres with Pakistan & China, blocking India’s access to the rest of the world on these two fronts; it is completely inaccessible,” said Dr. Happymon Jacob. India has a complex ties with the South Asian countries owing to the engagement of non-resident China in the region and India is attempting to fix it soon, he added. He elaborated on the five primary drivers of India’s relations with the South Asian region, the first being the British colonial legacy in the region. Much of the South Asian region was under the control of the British Empire. Dr. Happymon Jacob said that British rules, norms, traditions and worldview survived even after the independence. Post-independence, India’s policy towards the rest of the world changed but it remained the same as far as the South Asian region is concerned as both India & Pakistan continued to engage with South Asia based on previously established treaties, practices & arrangements, he added. Second is the regional primacy gained by India. “India naturally acquired Regional Primacy post-independence even when it did not seek for it. India remained intolerant towards taking any sides during the Cold War and this non-alignment policy strengthened the cause of regional primacy,” said Dr. Happymon Jacob. The third aspect is India’s desire to become a leading power in the international system. Dr. Happymon Jacob said that in the decade of change, the 1990s, India moved towards the prosperity on the economic front. India being high on the moral compass further strengthened the trust of international system in us. The fourth driver is the certain sense of insecurity when it comes to South Asia. India has and is having issues with Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Nepal. Pakistan has always been at the forefront of state sponsored terrorism in India and insurgency in different parts of the country be it Sikh Militancy in Punjab, terrorism in Kashmir or the insurgency in North East Region of India. The fifth driver is the rise of People’s Republic of China (PRC) and its growing interest in the South Asian region. PRC views the South Asian region as its sphere of influence now and attempts to cater to the region’s military & material needs. Belt & Road Initiatives offered infrastructure support and cheap loans, is letting for few countries in the region to align more towards China. PRC’s perceived desire to increasingly appear as a peacemaker and pretending to resolve its border disputes with the South Asian neighbours is alarming since it is the same country which has border disputes with all its neighbours. The other major concern is PRC’s expansionist agenda in the Himalayas. It illegally lays claims on parts of Indian state, Arunachal Pradesh and has gone to the extent of changing the names of many places of the state. China allegedly calls Arunachal Pradesh as South Tibet. Dr. Happymon Jacob said, “The problem for South Asian countries has come down to choosing between an authoritarian China and a democratic India. PRC lures them with cheap loans & resources but that’s unsustainable! India is more focused on safe multilateral trade.” He also pointed out that the South Asian region is the least integrated region in the world. India goes slow on multi-lateral arrangements but on the bilateral front, it is very enthusiastic, he added. He listed strategic dilemmas that India faces in the region. There are three broad sets of causes behind the dilemmas India faces in the neighbourhood. The first is the regional geopolitical architecture characterised by overlapping elements. Contemporary South Asia is characterised by a diminishing presence of the United States in the region. The second is PRC’s rise in the region which has come as a ‘geopolitical buffer’ in the region. Many countries are using the PRC card against India in their foreign policy assertions. The third is the PRC is providing capital to economies of the region to fulfill its expansionist policies. Fourth, India, for the most part, has had a normative and political approach towards the region. The PRC, on the other hand, offers itself as the no-frills non-normative alternative. Lastly, India thinks cultural connections with the region help us better deal with the countries. However, the reality is that Culture connect, soft power or religion is not appealing to South Asia anymore. Nevertheless, India is successful in trading off this mindset and forming real connections! The second cause behind India’s regional dilemma is India’s inability to deal with multiple power centres in the neighbourhood. We should have the ability to deal with multiple power centres in the country. Dr. Happymon Jacob concluded by stating that India is taking steps in the right direction by increasing its manpower, number of diplomats and envisioning an all-encompassing strategy to take over as the major driver of South Asian development. Following the guest speaker’s address, there was an in-depth Q&A session. Ms. Kritika Rajput, a Research Associate at RLA, moderated the session. Ms. Karneet Kaur, Research Associate at Red Lantern Analytica delivered the vote of Thanks. The session closed after the vote of thanks was delivered.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement on Illegal Chinese Activities in the Bhutanese territory
MEDIA COVERAGEDECEMBER 13, 2023
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Statement on Illegal Chinese Activities in the Bhutanese territory

Amid the ongoing border talks happening between Bhutan and China to formally demarcate their boundary, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has shown utmost hypocrisy by continuing unsanctioned construction activities in North Bhutan’s Jakarlung Valley. Satellite images between August 2021 to December 23 depict how fast the illegal Chinese construction activities have been taking place in the valley with over 100 residential quarters standing there when there were zero to begin with in 2021. These are not just isolated outposts but rather important components of a comprehensive system being developed by the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to further their ambitions of territorial gains. The satellite images support proof of the ongoing construction of at least 129 buildings and another 62 buildings of a different enclave, not far away from there. We had earlier too, in our statement dated April 15, 2023 (Link) warned of Bhutan being heavily pressurised by China and the latest PRC attempts establish the same. On one hand the PRC is trying to appease Bhutan by showing interest in upscaling bilateral relations and the willingness to solve border disputes but on the other hand they are trying to sinicise the Bhutanese landscape. Even after formally signing an agreement with Bhutan in 1998 to not alter the status quo in disputed areas, the PRC violated the agreement by occupying and settling in the Jakarlung Valley. The main reason for the CCP to do this is the vicinity of Jakarlung vtalley to the Amu Chu River Valley which lies adjacent to the Doklam plateau. By coming close to this territory the PRC wants to increase its presence near the Siliguri Corridor that connects India’s Northeast Region with the rest of the country. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has already been attempting to unilaterally change the status quo of the Indo-Tibet border and any Chinese expansion in Bhutan means gaining them advantage in its ‘salami slicing’ strategy and moving forward step by step to reach India. Although Bhutan might not have the required capacity to retaliate, India has reacted strongly to the illegal Chinese activities. Red Lantern Analytica stands with Bhutan and condemns the PRC for its attempts to indulge in unsanctioned building activities in the Bhutanese territory. We will also urge the International community to come forward to ensure a rule based world order where aggressors like the PRC are made accountable for their acts.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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RLA Press Release – The Siang Dialogue 1.0 – Session 3 (‘The Tawang Translation)
MEDIA COVERAGEDECEMBER 10, 2023
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RLA Press Release – The Siang Dialogue 1.0 – Session 3 (‘The Tawang Translation)

10th December 2023 The Red Lantern Analytica organized a three-day conference, ‘The Siang Dialogue 1.0’, from 8th to 10th December. In the third & last session titled ‘The Tawang Translation’, the speakers were Dr. Ayanjit Sen, Veteran Journalist & Associate Professor at Bennett University; Tenzin Lekshay La, Spokesperson of Central Tibetan Administration; Dr. Soumya Awasthi, Author & Consultant with Ministry of Defence and Tsewang Dorji Jeshong, Researcher from Tibet Policy Institute. Dr. Ayanjit Sen started by sharing his experience of living near Tawang, Arunachal Pradesh and how things have changed now on the tourism front as compared to the 1960s. “An integral part of India will always remain an integral part of India no matter what may come,” he said. From the China factor in foreign policy perspective, Arunachal Pradesh holds very significant importance and it is not “South Tibet” (as claimed by China), he added. “Invented Chinese names won’t stick at all. Arunachal Pradesh is an integral part of India and superfluous claims by CCP China won’t change a thing.” he stated. He also warned China not to cross the border in Arunachal Pradesh & distort the names of villages of the region as they will face the same what they faced in Ladakh in 2020. “Today’s India is much more militarily and diplomatically stronger than what it used to be in the 1960s. Now people in India are more aware of what’s happening in Arunachal Pradesh. There is more awareness among the global community as far as the India-China border dispute is concerned,” Dr. Sen asserted. addressing China’s sinister tactics of including Arunachal in its own so called official map, he concluded by saying, “You can remove Arunachal Pradesh from the map but not from Geography.” Tenzin Lekshay La began by thanking Indian people for supporting the Tibet issue since the leadership of JP Narayan in the 1960s. He said that Indian people need to know more about the Tibet issue and human rights violations being carried out by China. He highlighted that India & Tibet have been connected by borders, history, culture, and spiritualism for centuries. “India is the Guru of Tibet and it is the moral responsibility of the Guru to support its disciple in times of crisis”, Tenzin La expressed. “The Tibetan cause is a just cause. India talks about Satyamev Jayate, and Tibet believes in divine truth as well. China fears they are losing control since they lack this truth,” he said. He asserted that the survival of Tibet is very much relevant to the survival of India in the future. He said, “If Tibetans suffer then Indians will also suffer at the hands of the Chinese and history has shown this.” He highlighted the fact that Tibet is the lifeline of both Indian and Chinese civilizations as key rivers which act as the lifeline of both regions originate in Tibet. “Learning from the past, we can change the course of the future,” he said. Tenzin La expressed the concern of the ecological damage being done by China in Tibet. Glaciers are melting rapidly, temperature is rising at double rate because China is putting so much pressure on the fragile ecology of Tibet. He further said, “Landslides, earthquakes and floods have become a common phenomenon in Tibet and all the other Himalayan states all because of damage being done by China in Tibet.” He concluded by appealing to Indians to support Tibet not only emotionally but also through actions. “China is carrying out genocide in Tibet. It is running colonial-style schools in the region to indoctrinate Tibetan children.” “The Chinese have a very aggressive and expansionist agenda,” said Dr. Soumya Awasthi in the context of CCP China’s actions in Tibet. She said, “Tibet is a very important part of India’s history.” She further added that the Tibet issue continues to be unresolved due to China’s expansionist agenda. It has not honored the 1954 agreement of giving Tibetan people autonomy to run their government. Dr Awasthi highlighted the initiatives taken by India to support the Tibet issue including constituting a Special Frontier Force in 1962, training Tibetans to fight at high altitudes, supporting Tibetan refugees & granting them asylum, providing support to the Dalai Lama and also inviting Lobsang Sangay, former Sikyong of the Central Tibetan Administration, at a government event in 2014. The Ministry of Home Affairs, Government of India formalized the Tibetan Rehabilitation Policy in 2014. Dr. Soumya Awasthi suggested that India must also come out with its map game to reply to China in its own language to support the Tibetan cause strongly. She highlighted the fact that India’s stand on Tibet issue is now much stronger and the risk-taking capacity has also increased. She also advised the Tibetan Government-in-exile to enter into a comprehensive agreement with India on how to move forward on the Tibet issue. Tsewang Dorji elaborated on the geopolitical significance of Tawang in India-China relations & China’s Great Game in the Himalayan region. He said that the geopolitical importance of Tibet is very critical to understand China’s expansionist agenda in the Himalayan region. The RLA plans to have the next edition of Siang Dialogue in Arunachal Pradesh. The three-day ‘The Siang Dialogue 1.0’ conference was full of insights on the India-China border issue, the Tibet issue, the geopolitical importance of the Northeastern region of India, China’s great game in the Himalayan region and Southeast Asia & much more. The ‘The Siang Dialogue 1.0’ conference concluded on a very high note. Following the guest speaker’s address, there was an in-depth Q&A session which highlighted key issues like Beijing meddling with the narrative of Tibet and suppression of free media under the Chinese Communist Party regime. The speakers enunciated that China must not preach things that it itself doesn’t practice like bringing peace and creating friendly ecosystems. The session delved into the historical facts regarding the 1962 war and the border skirmishes that happened all along. Speakers further explored the origins of the people of Tibet, the historical significance

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Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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RLA Press Release – The Siang Dialogue 1.0 – Session 2 (Lohit’s Longitude)
MEDIA COVERAGEDECEMBER 9, 2023
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RLA Press Release – The Siang Dialogue 1.0 – Session 2 (Lohit’s Longitude)

9th December 2023 The Red Lantern Analytica is organising a three-day ‘The Siang Dialogue 1.0’ conference, from 8th to 10th December. In the second session titled ‘Lohit’s Longitude’ was held on 9th December 2023, where discussions were held on understanding India’s North East as gateway to the “Act East policy”. The speakers were Shri Sujeet Kumar, Member of Rajya Sabha; Ajay Dutt, Member of the Delhi Legislative Assembly, Major Amit Bansal, Defence Strategist and Dr. J. Jeganaathan, Associate Professor at JNU. Kritika Rajput, Research Associate at RLA, commenced the session by elaborating on the topic. Shri. Sujeet Kumar sent his best wishes for the session in his video message. While highlighting the importance of ‘The Siang Dialogue 1.0’. he said, “Northeast region of India holds immense political & geopolitical importance. India’s ‘Act East Policy’ cannot be successful unless we focus more on the Northeast”. “There has been clear mention of the Northeastern region in Mahabharat and Buddhist texts”, Major Amit Bansal said. He further added that since ancient times Northeastern region had cultural and political connections with the rest of India and that all seven states in the Northeastern region have their own challenges. He also mentioned that India’s Act East Policy is based on the 4 C’s – Culture, Commerce, Connectivity, and Capacity Building. Major Bansal stated, “One of the biggest challenges we are facing in the Northeast is the almost eight decades of insurgency”. He stressed that each tribal group in Northeast has its own unique culture, hence, we need to understand the mindset of tribals of the Northeast region as 35% of India’s total tribal population lives in seven states of the Northeast. He further shared his personal experience of visiting seven Northeastern states where he witnessed rampant poverty in villages. “Lack of development is also a big challenge in the region,” he added. He asserted that insurgent and separatist groups are of concern. Also, for a long time in this region, there is lack of development and the benefits are not reaped by common people. Major Bansal suggested that the Government should focus more on strengthening connectivity between the Northeast and the ASEAN countries to make the Northeast an engine of growth & also to counter China’s growing influence in ASEAN countries. “Act East Policy has to move very fast and China’s challenge for India consists of security, culture and trade”, he further added. Major Bansal also highlighted that China has border disputes with its almost every neighbour. He warned that China’s ambition of becoming the only superpower in Asia will pose a significant challenge in the Northeast. “China works in a sense of superiority. It is destroying Tibetan culture by destroying monasteries. By doing so it’s damaging Tibet’s spiritual connection with India,” he reiterated. He concluded by saying that to counter China’s influence in the ASEAN region we need to act very fast with our “Act East Policy” and increase our trade with ASEAN countries and it can be done only by developing the Northeast region at a rapid pace. Ajay Dutt highlighted how closely Northeastern states are linked with the rest of the country and extended neighborhood and are extremely rich in natural resources. He said, “The region is very diverse and has extensive cultural, historical and economic connections with Southeast Asian countries”. He stressed how Northeastern states act as a bridge to the Bay of Bengal and Himalayan regions. There is need for exploring the hidden economic potential of the Northeast region and strengthening the connectivity of the region with Southeast Asia & other nearby countries, he further added. Dr. J. Jeganaathan, moderated the session and also delivered the keynote address. He elaborated on how connectivity and infrastructure are the biggest challenges in the region as one has to circumvent Bangladesh in order to transport goods, and other requirements. “However, in the last 10 years, Northeast has emerged as a bridge in connecting India with the Southeast Asian region and trade is the game-changer in the region”, he stated. He also added that the physical & digital connectivity in the region has expanded significantly in the last 5 years. He concluded by saying that we need to focus more on Myanmar, Bangladesh and ASEAN countries in light of China’s increasing presence in the region. “In the coming decade, CCP China is set to lose trade in the Indo-Pacific and ASEAN markets. The void will be filled by India and the Northeast region of India will be the flag bearer of such a dynamic development,” he said. “There needs to be more substance in India’s Act East Policy with respect to strategic aspect,” he added. RLA plans to have the next Siang Dialogue in Arunachal Pradesh. Following the guest speaker’s address, there was an in-depth Q&A session. Ms. Kusuma, Research Associate at Red Lantern Analytica delivered the vote of Thanks. The session closed after the vote of thanks was delivered.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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RLA Press Release – The Siang Dialogue 1.0 – Session 1 (The Namsai Note)
MEDIA COVERAGEDECEMBER 8, 2023
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RLA Press Release – The Siang Dialogue 1.0 – Session 1 (The Namsai Note)

8th December 2023 Red Lantern Analytica is organizing their annual event called “The Siang Dialogue 1.0” in virtual mode between 8th to 10th December. The three-day event has been named in reverence after the Siang River, which not only forms the economic, cultural and ecological bedrock of the region but also irrigates life by providing Brahmaputra a bulk of its water. Thus, supporting life to millions in India and Bangladesh. It had its inaugural Session “The Namsai Note” on 8th December 2023. This event aims to stimulate discussions involving general public and policy makers alike towards the strategic importance of attending to India’s neighborhood in the Indian subcontinent and will also involve in-depth discussions on India’s north-east region. Not many know that the sixth Dalai Lama was born in India’s Tawang region of Arunachal Pradesh in 1682. Also, that the mighty Brahmaputra derives its might from the river Siang which flows in Arunachal. Covering many such interesting facets was the first session – The Namsai Note, deriving its name from the place having the largest Buddhist monastery in North East India. The speakers for the session were Shri Ninong Ering, MLA from Arunachal Pradesh, Dr. Sriparna Pathak, Associate Professor at O.P. Jindal Global University; Dr. Rajiv Nayan, Senior Research Associate at Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses, Dr. Shrabana Barua, Research Fellow at the Indian Council of World Affairs, and Ms. Namrata Hasija, Research Fellow at Centre for China Analysis and Strategy. Mr. Ninong Ering thanked RLA for taking up such an important topic and wished all the very best for the success of the conference. He shared how the North East Region is of great importance for India strategically and geopolitically as there is growing influence of the region for the world. Dr. Sriparna Pathak elaborated on the details of the topic in great depth and its impact on the Northeast. She talked about how China is weaponizing water. She said that the control of water by upper riparian China, leads to devastation in lower riparian regions of India. “In 2017 during the Doklam crisis, China did not provide information about the hydrological data of Brahmaputra river which originates from Tibet. However, the information was shared with Bangladesh. The consequence of this can be seen in the floods that wreaked havoc in 2017,” she said. China has been exploring natural resources like water, to target the other neighboring countries, she further added. Dr. Sriparna said that the mindless construction of dams by China in ecologically sensitive regions like Occupied Tibet, on the Majia Zangbu river, will badly impact natural habitats and its impact can be seen in the form of floods in Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and other Northeast regions. “China is also supporting insurgent groups in the Northeastern region”, she said. Many insurgents of Northeastern are living in Yunnan Province of China and many have strong connections with Chinese agencies. “China’s proxy war against India in the Northeast region includes the supply of weapons, money laundering, abetment in internal violence and influencing electoral choices”, said Dr. Sriparna Pathak. Dr. Rajiv Nayan elaborated on how the geographical location of Northeast India makes it very special. “Geography is constant, it cannot be changed”, he said. Dr. Rajiv Nayan delved into the history of geopolitics and how technological & scientific advances can significantly alter the benefits of geography. He said that despite technological advances, the State remains the principal geopolitical actor. “The northeast region has significant strategic value and it is the gateway to Southeast Asia,” Dr. Rajiv Nayan said. He added that the Government of India has been working with the mantra of “Act Fast for Northeast, Act First for Northeast”. He said that the Government has transformed the “Look East Policy” into the “Act East Policy”. In the last 10 years, the Northeastern region of the country has witnessed significant transformation on the infrastructure front under the current leadership, he further added. Dr. Shrabana Barua focused more on connectivity in the Northeast region and how it is transforming strategic aspects in the region. “Northeast has already been mainstreamed, it is very much a changed picture today for the region”, she said. Dr. Shrabana Barua stressed that we need to address the China factor in the Northeast region. She highlighted the example of China reviving the Burma road which can lead to an increase in smuggling and opium trade if it is constructed completely. She also informed the audience that China was planning to extend its reach to the Indian Ocean in the 1980s and it came to light in the form of String of Pearls in the 2000s. The Bangladesh-Bhutan-India-Nepal (BBIN) initiative is doing good work in integrating the region with neighboring countries, she said. Dr. Shrabana Barua suggested that the Indian Government should utilize water resources in the northeast region to its greatest potential by strengthening inland water connectivity. She commended the Government’s works of building new bridges, connecting the region with Railways and building airports in the Northeast. Dr. Shrabana Barua concluded by saying that the picture has changed in the Northeast and we should move ahead with optimism but we still have a lot of work to do in the region. Ms. Namrata Hasija, research fellow at the Centre for China Analysis & Strategy, moderated the session. She also remarked, “North East Region of India is set to play a crucial role in India’s grandiose plan of development. CCP China’s Belt and Road Initiative is being countered proactively & China’s evil plans are upfront now.” Ms. Kusuma, Research associate at Red Lantern Analytica delivered the vote of Thanks. The session closed after a brief Q&A session. The team of Red Lantern Analytica, while launching this Virtual Conference, has hoped that the next edition of this annual affair can be organized in Arunachal Pradesh itself.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Press Release of Webinar on ‘Azerbaijan’s Aggression Over Armenia’s Nagorno-Karabakh’ held 15th October 2023
MEDIA COVERAGEOCTOBER 16, 2023
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Press Release of Webinar on ‘Azerbaijan’s Aggression Over Armenia’s Nagorno-Karabakh’ held 15th October 2023

On October 15th, 2023, Red Lantern Analytica and The Network State, jointly conducted a webinar titled ‘Azerbaijan’s Aggression Over Armenia’s Nagorno-Karabakh’. The expert speakers of the webinar included – Vahram Ayvazyan, Founder and Board Chairman at The Network State; Vahan Zanoyan, Global Energy and Security Specialist; Major General Ashok Kumar (Retd.), Kargil War Veteran & Military Expert; and Michael Nersisyan, UK Based Armenian Journalist. The moderator of the session was Paul Antonopoulos, Editor of Greek City Times. Paul Antonopoulos from Greek City Times commenced the session by elaborating on the topic focusing on Azerbaijan’s aggression in Armenia’s Nagorno-Karabakh. He said that Azerbaijan has been an autocratic country under its current ruler Ilham Aliyev, son of the former president, Heydar. He has suppressed minority rights in the country. He has astutely used his country’s wealth to forge close relationships with other autocratic regimes across the world in order to gain supporters & allies for Azerbaijan’s aggression against Armenia. Major General Ashok Kumar (Retd.) pointed out the hypocrisy of the Global community in their approach to events involving two regions in a bitter war. “People in large numbers spoke against Russia-Ukraine tensions as well as the ongoing violent conflict between Gaza & Israel but hardly hue & cry happened against Azebaijan’s aggression against Armenia”, he said. Major General Ashok Kumar highlighted the peculiarity of ethnic population and geographic areas of Nagorno-Karabakh. The first war for Nagorno-Karabakh started in 1988. It continued for almost 6 years, was won by Armenia in clear terms, and became unified with the country, he said. There was some peace for 14 years but from 2008 a different kind of trend started emerging with the 2008 Mardakert clashes, he added. Major General Ashok Kumar (Retd.) said that from 2014, things started turning in favour of Azerbaijan, he further added. In the 2020 war, Azerbaijan gained a huge territorial victory with the country capturing cities and villages in the Nagorno-Karabakh region. In 2023, Azerbaijan forced the entire population in the region to migrate to Armenia to save lives but the entire world remained silent on the tragedy. Vahan Zanoyan pointed out the rich natural mineral resources angle in the Nagorno-Karabakh region which Azerbaijan wants to exploit. He said Armenia was an independent country before the Soviet Union with Nagorno-Karabakh being shown as its parts in the maps by League of Nations. He further said that there is no legal way to defend Azerbaijan’s claim on Nagorno-Karabakh. He put light on the geopolitics of trade routes in the region with Armenia providing smooth access to both Europe and Asia. “Understanding this region is significant to understand the geography of Nagorno-Karabakh or Artsakh as the axes of this region is surrounded by key players in the world who eye for the trade routes,” he said. He also informed the audience about Turkey’s role in the Armenia and Azerbaijan war. Turkey supplied logistics support, advanced weapons, military hardware & intelligence to Azerbaijan. Georgia provided its airspace to Azerbaijan & Turkey but not to Armenia. He said that Azerbaijan’s Army heavily outnumbered the Armenian Army. Vahan Zanoyan also elaborated on the role of the infrastructure & commercial interests of the Western World in Azerbaijan. He said that British Petroleum is heavily invested in Baku, Azerbaijan’s capital and that’s why its BBC remained so much pro-Azerbaijan throughout the war. Another dimension mentioned by him included Azerbaijan’s act of erasing the history of occupied regions by bringing down churches and all other historical monuments. He said that there are huge chance that Azerbaijan will do the same in Nagorno-Karabakh. He concluded by saying that Azerbaijan is getting away by doing all this with the support of nations like Turkey and its strong propaganda machinery. Vahram Ayvazyan said that Azerbaijan is part of the ‘One Turkey’ or Turan project. It is a project to Turkify everything in regions like Central Asia, Iran, the Indian Subcontinent, China and Russia. He also warned that the ugly marriage between Azerbaijan, Pakistan and Turkey is dangerous for both Armenia and India. He pitched for an Indian military base in Armenia to balance things in the region. Vahram Ayvazyan called for a stronger India-Armenia partnership as India can be a good negotiator with both the West and Russia & balance helps in balancing things in the region. Michael Nersisyan said that Azerbaijan is making lots of mistakes in its endeavours and it will reach breaking point soon. He said, “A lot of political capital is the cost of Nagorno-Karabakh. Azerbaijan’s mistakes are the loss for the civilians than the leaders.” Azerbaijan’s aggression in collaboration with Pakistan and Turkey is a big challenge for Russia, China and India, he added. There is no end to hunger for land and the expansionist agenda of these countries, he warned. Michael Nersisyan also added that there is very negative sentiment against the UN in the region and the UN has largely become irrelevant when it comes to stopping war & ensuring peace in the world. Following the guest speaker’s address, there was an in-depth Q&A session. Ms Karneet Bhasin senior member of Red Lantern Analytica delivered the vote of Thanks. The session closed after the vote of thanks was given.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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MEDIA COVERAGESEPTEMBER 5, 2023
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Statement on Chinese President Xi Jinping Not Attending the G20 Summit

New Delhi is set to host the G20 meeting this week and a bunch of world leaders from USA, France, Australia, Germany, UK, Japan,etc. will be attending the event in person. However, soon after Russian President Vladimir Putin conveyed to India the news of his absence, it appears that Chinese President Xi Jinping is also likely to skip the summit. Although there is no written confirmation yet, the premier of the People’s Republic of China(PRC), Li Qiang is expected to lead the Chinese delegation. This absurd move to not attend the G20 meeting is symbolic of many facets of Xi’s policy – Firstly, soon after the BRICS meeting where Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi met in person, the PRC released a set of ‘official map’ allegedly claiming Indian territories of Arunachal Pradesh and Aksai Chin. The subsequent decision to skip the G20 summit signals China’s reluctance to solve the border disputes with India and unilaterally attempting to change the status quo. Secondly, by not attending the G20 summit Xi is discrediting the global platform where East meets the West. It points out the authoritative desires of the Chinese Communist Party(CCP) to portray Beijing as a leader of developing nations and create an alternative to the current world order by becoming the lone superpower. Missing the G20 meet means missing crucial opportunities to improve bilateral relations with countries that China has strained relationships with – starting with India, USA, Canada, issues with the Quad and other such disputations. Lastly, Xi Jinping has decided not only to not attend the G20 meeting but he will also be absent at the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) and East Asia Summits in Jakarta. This displays the choice of isolation, i.e., rather than try to resolve the global issues by discussions and involvement at global and regional summits, Xi Jinping opts for isolation and remains reluctant to participate in collective action for global welfare. With India’s rising GDP, recent successful space programmes and India winning the goodwill of the regions like Africa, West Asia and Southeast Asia – where China tried to dump its dominance, Xi Jinping doesn’t want to be at a place where India is at the centre, hence came the decision to skip the summit. And with China’s declining economy, its strained bilateral relationships, its image in the world receding down to be “unlikable”, its Belt and Road Initiative in doldrums and skyrocketing unemployment, it is quite intolerable for the PRC to see India emerge as a harmonizer of science and spirituality, the most sought after location for foreign investors, engage in cooperation instead of confrontation, and be a powerhouse of technology and diplomacy.

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Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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MEDIA COVERAGEAUGUST 29, 2023
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Statement on PRC Claiming India’s Territory of Aksai Chin and Arunachal Pradesh in its Newly Issued so-called “China’s standard map”

The 2023 edition of People’s Republic of China (PRC) standard map has officially been released on August 28, 2023 and claims Indian areas of Arunachal Pradesh, Aksai Chin along with Taiwan and South China Sea as Chinese territory. This is hypocrisy displayed by the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) officials as they claim to mutually bring “peace” to the Indo-China border disputes but end up violating the core principles of national sovereignty and territorial integrity of India. PRC has been actively putting in efforts to tighten its control over disputed border areas by various means like passing the new Border Law in 2022 which lists several responsibilities for civilians and military authorities to take steps to “safeguard national sovereignty”; and Beijing ‘s announcement of April 2023 where it mentioned agendas of ‘standardising’ the names of 11 places in Arunachal Pradesh. The CCP allegedly calls the Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh as “Zang Nan” or Southern Tibet, just as it calls Tibet as “Xi Zang”. The PRC Ministry of Civilian Affairs put out the idea of renaming places in 2017 following the Doklam issue and then in 2021 following the Galwan Valley clash. Subsequently, the border dispute between India and PRC has remained a major bone of contention and the CCP keeps trying to pull up such tactics to feed its superficial ego that it owns parts of Indian territory. Quite recently PRC issued ‘stapled visas’ to three athletes from the Indian team of Wu Shu martial arts for the Summer World University games which was were held in Chengdu (PRC), to challenge India’s control and authority over some parts of Arunachal Pradesh. This latest event of PRC’s new map claiming Arunachal Pradesh and Aksai Chin is a strategy of the CCP to underline its unilateral claim over Indian territories. The raison d’être for this is India’s G-20 presidency, under which it hosted a confidential meeting in Itanagar, the capital of Arunachal Pradesh, which was attended by several foreign delegates but at that time ignored by the Chinese side. Owing to the upcoming G-20 summit in New Delhi, PRC’s delusional mind-set is once again acting up and thereby, it refuses to accept India’s complete sovereignty over parts of UT of Ladakh (Aksai Chin) and Arunachal Pradesh, which has always been an integral part of India and will continue to do so. As the Indian Ministry of External Affairs says “Invented names cannot alter the facts of the ground”, similarly such hollow campaigns wouldn’t rock India’s sovereignty over its territory even by one inch. We condemn PRC which chooses to build a superfluous image, that of a ‘peacemaker’ while engaging in petty politics to further its hegemonic desires which will not be accepted by India.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement condemning China Coast Guard’s use of force on Philippine military ship in the South China Sea
MEDIA COVERAGEAUGUST 8, 2023
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Statement condemning China Coast Guard’s use of force on Philippine military ship in the South China Sea

In a classic case of the pot calling the kettle black, China accuses the Philippines of ‘illegally’ entering its waters in the disputed South China Sea. China fired water cannon at the vessels of the Philippines and blocked them. Philippine Coast Guard vessels were escorting ships carrying supplies to military troops stationed in Second Thomas Shoal. This marks another attempt by China to assert its claims over the territories of the South China Sea. “We call on the China Coast Guard and the Central Military Commission to act with prudence and be responsible in their actions to prevent miscalculations and accidents that will endanger people’s lives,” the Philippines armed forces said. The US condemned Beijing’s “dangerous actions” and blamed Chinese “maritime militia” for the incident. The U.S. State Department said in a statement that “firing water cannons and employing unsafe blocking maneuvers, PRC ships interfered with the Philippines’ lawful exercise of high seas freedom of navigation and jeopardized the safety of the Philippine vessels and crew.” It further added that such actions by the PRC are a direct threat to “regional peace and stability.” China has emerged as a threat to global peace. Its moves are dangerous & destabilizing. The CCP China claims “indisputable sovereignty” over almost all of the 1.3 million square miles South China Sea, as well as most of the islands within it. Its claims are ridiculous. China has increased hostile actions in the region like the construction of artificial islands on several reefs and shoals, military deployments, establishment of military units, etc. China’s aggressive actions are a big threat to the regional balance of power. China is not a peace-loving nation. It has serious differences with almost all its neighbours. China’s flawed diplomacy & its sinister expansionist agenda are threatening global peace. Using its economic and militaristic powers, China wants to project itself as an advocate for the entire Asian continent. China has 17 territorial disputes with its neighbours. There is no country in China’s neighbourhood that it has not clashed with regarding land or maritime issues. The need of the hour is to unite against China’s neo-imperialist tactics or else China will create more hurdles for the world altogether.

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Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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MEDIA COVERAGEAUGUST 7, 2023
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Condemning the Smear campaign of Chinese Communist Party on Legitimate Indian Security concerns

Owing to India’s ambitious “Make in India” programme and subsequently leading to increased local manufacturing, the Chinese Communist party (CCP) has started to target India’s way of promoting indigenous businesses and calling it “protectionism” by means of curbing imports. Although India genuinely looks forward to lower its import reliance, it doesn’t qualify to be implementing protectionist policies since all developing nations, more specifically China, engage in self-sufficing tactics from time to time. Protectionism is the practise of implementing rules, regulations or laws with the intent of protecting domestic industries from foreign competition; and China has adopted and exercised all forms of it – be it tariffs, quota/volume limits, voluntary export variants or administrative barriers like regulations. On one hand the CCP led China talks about liberalising the economy and favouring a market based regime, on the other hand it has strategically opened its economy only to a few sectors which it considers crucial for growth and development like the massive labour-intensive manufacturing units, technology and infrastructure. This too became a necessity to do when its closed economy failed miserably in the few decades following its independence. Since that juncture China has very slyly cut down on its protectionist policies and engaged selectively with foreign investors only if it could get a better deal out of it. For example, foreign markets can invest in China only if they can transfer technology or if the recipient nations would agree to “vote” in China’s favour at international platforms like the UN. Add to this the highly restrictive policy environment in China, lack of transparency and a non-rule abiding nation which has invented its own version called the ‘Piecemeal Liberalisation’ approach. China was successful to a long extent due to its cheap labour supply but what we’re witnessing today is that an increasing number of multinational companies are shifting investments away from China. Major reasons being cited by these foreign investors include CCP’s protection against Chinese rivals, anti spying laws (quite ironically), security controls, red tapism and the lack of ease of doing business. The centralisation of power in China has led to the business environment becoming more and more “political” in China with abrupt raids in offices and unexplained aggressive actions taken against business people. China is actively engaged in the world’s largest chip war and due to Beijing’s over promotion of national self-reliance, it has stopped using some foreign products like Micron Technology’s chips, which is the biggest US maker of memory chips. In order to promote protectionism, China has also recently announced that it will ban the exports on gallium and germanium, which are essential components for the manufacturing of semiconductors. Filled with naivety, CCP thinks that India and the world is practising protectionism as a means to counter China’s rising growth but what it needs to understand is that Chinese economy is showing chronic signs of spiralling down which is driving away potential investors clubbed with the human rights violations and other authoritative tendencies practised by the CCP is a great hurdle which stops people and companies to have a desire to work with China. RLA condemns the CCP-China sponsored smear campaign against India and advises the CCP to accept India’s rise as a manufacturing hub and learn a thing or two from India on how to drive economic growth without subjugating and dehumanizing people, like they do in China.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement on Indian Rupee emerging as a Common Currency for Stronger Mutual Trade
MEDIA COVERAGEJULY 25, 2023
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Statement on Indian Rupee emerging as a Common Currency for Stronger Mutual Trade

As the world began the process of De-dollarisation, Indian National Rupee (INR) is emerging as the new common currency gaining traction to facilitate bilateral trade. On July 15, 2023, India signed two Memoranda of Understanding (MoU) between the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Central Bank of United Arab Emirates (UAE) to establish a framework that will “promote the use of local currencies (rupee and dirham) for cross-border transactions.” Sri Lankan president Ranil Wickremesingha, who is set to visit New Delhi this week, also showed enthusiasm regarding the use of INR for bilateral trade when he said, “Sri Lanka would want to see the Indian rupee used as much as the US dollar.” The global payments system was majorly facilitated through the SWIFT system – Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, a West-led initiative to ease global trading between countries. However, after the Russia-Ukraine war, USA froze Russian assets and cut it out of the SWIFT system, just like Iran and Venezuela. This acted as the catalyst in the process of internationalisation of rupee and made possible the Indo-Russian bilateral trade. In July 2022, RBI formally introduced a mechanism to facilitate the international trade in rupees, which was earlier limited to FDI and external commercial borrowings (through ‘Masala Bonds’) only. The joint statement released by India and France recently declared that India’s most successful payments system, UPI (Unified Payment Interface), will now be used by France to enable seamless cross border transactions. This has been splendidly done by the NPCI International Payments Limited (NIPL), the global arm of NPCI (National Payments Corporation of India). Under its “UPI Global Initiative”, other countries have also allowed UPI transactions, like Bhutan, Nepal, Oman, UAE, Malaysia and the UK. Europe is further set to expand UPI in collaboration with Worldline, a global leader in payment services, the process of which started in October, 2022. The use of Indian rupee in cross-border transactions will mitigate the currency risk for Indian business; reduce the need for holding foreign exchange reserves; and as the use of Indian rupee becomes significant, the bargaining power of Indian business would improve, adding weight to the Indian economy which is enhancing India’s global stature. At a time when 88.3% of global foreign exchange market is accounted for by the US dollar, the fact that more and more countries are showing reliance on INR proves our credibility as a stable financial and technical powerhouse.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Press Release – ‘India’s Nuclear Policy’ and a book discussion on ‘India’s Nuclear Titans: Biographical Tales’
MEDIA COVERAGEJULY 21, 2023
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Press Release – ‘India’s Nuclear Policy’ and a book discussion on ‘India’s Nuclear Titans: Biographical Tales’

On July 20, 2023, Red Lantern Analytica organised a webinar on ‘India’s Nuclear Policy’ and a book discussion on ‘India’s Nuclear Titans: Biographical Tales’. The Speakers for the session were Member of Parliament (Rajya Sabha) from Odisha, Dr. Amar Patnaik; Dr. J Jeganaathan, Associate Professor at Centre for European Studies at SIS-JNU,; Editor & Co-Editor of the book titled ‘India’s Nuclear Titans: Biographical Tales’, Dr. Soumya Awasthi & Dr. Shrabana Barua, respectively. Dr. J Jeganaathan commenced the session by elaborating on the topic of the webinar and journey of India’s nuclear policy & how it has evolved over the year. He said, “Our nuclear policy has been quite open, clean and transparent; everyone has contributed in it from Mrs. Indira Gandhi to Homi Jehangir Bhabha.” Dr. J Jeganaathan also made his observations about the book and termed it a very important book for the students of International Relations and all those working in the field of India’s Nuclear policy. Dr. Amar Patnaik, in his keynote address said, “Our nuclear policy has been in tandem with our space policy and that has served us well.” He said that the coverage on India’s nuclear policy has been very well captured in the book. “India has put the right amount of deterrence with its nuclear policy and has made the world to respect us with the right use of the nuclear power,” he said. Dr Amar Patnaik stated, “Nuclear energy has an important role to play in energy transition.” He also said that the Government must from time to time refute apprehensions regarding the security in case of any nuclear disaster. He also added that going forward, a shift in nuclear energy’s favour will happen in India’s energy basket. He concluded his keynote address by congratulating the authors of the book and discussed many details related to India’s nuclear policy and the nation’s success story as a nuclear power. Dr. Soumya Awasthi, the editor of the book shared about how she and Dr. Shrabana Barua came up with the idea of writing the book on the subject and what all it took for the project to become the reality. They started with an aim to let the people know how India is a responsible nuclear power & how the nation’s nuclear policy evolved over the years. “The book is a journey from Operation Shakti to Operation Smiling Buddha and what happened after that. It has inspiring journeys of individuals helping India crossing the river from being idealist to realist,” she stated. While answering to a question of the role of various diplomats in the India’s Nuclear weapons development; she also said that she will be coming up with the second volume of the book with special focus on women and other noteworthy people (who didn’t feature in the current book since only a limited number of people can be discussed in an edition) who shaped the nation’s nuclear policy. Dr. Shrabana Barua, the co-editor of the book said that the book is overall about India’s nuclear story. She gave details about Dr. Raja Ramanna and his contributions in making India Aatmanirbhar in the field of nuclear power. “It is not important for everyone to know nuclear science, physics to contribute to the nuclear story of India,” she said. She further added that as a diplomat your skills to negotiate will be of more use than the knowledge of nuclear science. “Everyone irrespective of their background can contribute to our nuclear story,” she mentioned. Dr. Shrabana Barua also shared insights about Dr. Homi Jehangir Bhabha and how passionate he was in making the nuclear bomb. Dr. Bhabha was supported by supported by the Indian administration whole-heartedly in his endeavours. She also talked about Dr. Vikram Sarabhai’s contribution in India’s nuclear journey & helping the nation in establishing credible deterrence and what a great institution builder he was. He carried on the dream of Dr. Bhabha in mission mode. Following the address of keynote and guest speakers, there was an in-depth Q&A session. Mr. Sidharth Gosh, Senior Member of the Red Lantern Analytica, moderated the session. The session was brought to a close after Ms. Shalini Arya, Research Associate at Red Lantern Analytica delivered the vote of thanks.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement on the Ongoing Sudan Crisis
MEDIA COVERAGEMAY 8, 2023
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Statement on the Ongoing Sudan Crisis

Hundreds of people have been killed and thousands are fleeing or evacuating for safety amid intense clashes taking place between the Sudan’s military, led by General Abdel Fattah-al-Burhan (also the de facto ruler of Sudan), and Sudan’s main paramilitary force, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). After gaining independence on 01 January,1956, civil war broke out between the North and South Sudan due to alleged incompetent governance and massive religious conflicts (the Islamic North versus the Christians in South), which led to South Sudan separating as an independent nation. Up until then, Omar Hassan Ahmed-al-Bashir had been the ruler of Sudan and showed dictatorial tendencies. In 2013, RSF was officially formed through the restructuring and reactivation of Janjaweed militias, who were used by the Sudanese government to fight anti-government insurgencies during a rebellion in Dafur. In 2018, large-scale protests started demanding the removal of al-Bashir from power. In 2019, the RSF led by its leader Hemedti, and the regular military forces under General Burhan cooperated to oust Bashir in a military coup. Then came the question of who would eventually rule Sudan. For a short period, the transition to democracy looked hopeful, but that was also interrupted by a coup in October 2021. The section of Sudan that has been most impacted and devastated by all this power struggle is the civilian population, while the fighting between the RSF and Sudan’s military forces continues. Sudan’s geography has become its biggest curse. Owing to its strategic location (bordering the Red Sea, the Sahel region, and the Horn of Africa) and agricultural wealth, major geo-political dimensions come into play with various powers battling for their influence in Sudan, as whoever controls this region controls more than 10% of global trade. It is unfortunate for the innocent Sudanese, who have been fleeing to neighbouring countries on a massive scale, to have been caught between such intense geo-political and geo-economic tangents. India, with its ‘Operation Kaveri’, has evacuated more than 3000 Indians and other countries’ citizens from Sudan. We, at Red Lantern Analytica, regret such an incidence and wish for peace to reach Sudan soon.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement on PRC’s aggression in the West Philippine Sea
MEDIA COVERAGEAPRIL 29, 2023
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Statement on PRC’s aggression in the West Philippine Sea

A Chinese and Philippine ship came close to colliding in the West Philippine Sea as the PRC continues to deny Philippine coast guards the right to patrol the areas near Ayungin Shoal, a Philippine held island. According to the Philippine Coast Guard, two Chinese coast guard vessels blocked Philippine patrol boats near Ayungin Shoal on April 23, with one of the ships performing “dangerous manoeuvres” and coming within 50 yards of the Philippine Coast Guard’s boat. Similar manoeuvres were documented on April 19 in the same region, according to the Philippines’ foreign affairs department, which also cited other instances of “highly dangerous manoeuvres” by Chinese vessels. During a week-long special mission, the Philippines Coast Guard also identified more than 100 “suspected Chinese maritime militia vessels, a People’s Liberation Army Navy corvette class, and two China Coast Guard vessels” within the 200-mile exclusive economic zone of the Philippines. It is noteworthy, that on July 16, 2016, a tribunal established under the Law of the Sea Convention of 1982 rendered a unanimous decision that is binding on the Philippines and the PRC. In its decision, the Tribunal rejected the PRC’s expansive maritime claims in the West Philippine Sea as having no validity in international law. The Tribunal also stated that the PRC has no legal claim to the areas that the Arbitral Tribunal determined to be within the exclusive economic zone and continental shelf of the Philippines. The tribunal also rejected Beijing’s sweeping “nine-dash line,” but the PRC has since refused to acknowledge the ruling. By brazenly denying the Philippine Coast Guard the right to patrol its sovereign maritime areas, Beijing is showing utter disregard for international law and rule based maritime borders. We will remind the Chinese communist regime to act responsibly and respect the sovereignty and local laws of the Philippines. We will also like to call upon the world to take immediate notice of the issue and stand in solidarity with the Philippines and all other nations frequently harassed by the PRC’s forces

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Highlighting CCP’s Debt Trap diplomacy in Democratic Republic of Congo
MEDIA COVERAGEAPRIL 17, 2023
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Highlighting CCP’s Debt Trap diplomacy in Democratic Republic of Congo

The CCP China has become infamous for shady business practises all across the world. One recent example of this can be seen in the Democratic Republic of Congo, where its National Assembly has called for a review of the country’s mining agreements with China. According to Christophe Mboso, speaker of the DRC national assembly, the Chinese are not paying their fair share, which is affecting the county’s revenue collection. “Sicomines (a Chinese majority joint venture operating in the country), it seems, is not keen on paying the $200 million that the DRC is asking for after making huge profits,” said Nicholas Kazadi, DRC finance minister. He also stated that the contracts signed previously were biased in favour of Chinese interests. The DRC state auditor stated in their report that Sicomines had spent less than $1bn of the $3bn initially pledged, and called for another $1bn of the funding to be released. China is extracting huge profits, but in return, it is not delivering what it had promised. Overall, Chinese companies have already cashed in, earning at least USD 10 billion from contracts in the last decade, while Kinshasa has benefited from only USD 822 million in terms of infrastructure, according to the February report of the Inspectorate General of Finance. As part of the contract signed between China and the DRC, the CCP China was supposed to build 3,500km of roads, 3,500 km of railway infrastructure, 31 hospitals with 150 beds, and 145 health centres in the country. But China has not even built one metre of rail in the DRC. China took advantage of various exemptions provided by DRC as part of the contract, locally referred to as the “contract of the century”, but it hasn’t delivered what it had promised to do in DRC. This is not just in the DRC but in many countries across the African continent, Central Asia, and Indian subcontinent. China is carrying out organised and systematic looting in poor and developing countries through its corrupt business practises and debt trap diplomacy.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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MEDIA COVERAGEAPRIL 14, 2023
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Statement alerting Bhutan that siding with China will cost it huge losses like Sri Lanka and Pakistan

The Doklam plateau issue rose to the limelight when, in 2017, under the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) leadership, Chinese troops with construction vehicles and road building equipment, began extending an existing road southward in Doklam. Doklam is a disputed area between India, Bhutan and China. While owing to its hegemonic desires, China claims the entirety of the plateau, India maintains the dignity of historical treaties. Bhutan, who even agreed to coordinate its foreign policy with that of India, under agreements like the Friendship Treaty, is now being heavily pressurised by the CCP to change its stand owing to which Prime Minister Lotay Tshering, recently made claims stating that “China has equal stake in Doklam dispute” as it is not up to Bhutan alone to solve the Doklam dispute and that all three countries – Bhutan, India and China are equal stakeholders. China has been toying with Bhutan’s sovereignty and territorial integrity for decades – sometimes by showing large parts of Bhutan as part of China in Chinese maps, sometimes by building heavy infrastructure in Bhutan’s territory, but mostly by trying to construct illegal sites in the disputed areas. What Bhutan doesn’t understand is that China is trying to shift the disputed tri-junction southward, which would make the entire Doklam plateau legally a part of China – which is in close proximity to India’s strategic Siliguri Corridor. Bhutan’s position might look like it has limited options when it comes to stopping China’s increasing encroachment on Bhutan’s territory but it is very crucial for Bhutan to not get lured by the cheesy words of the CCP and take a pacifist stand – as taking side with China just might fetch the exact opposite outcome. In the past few years, Asia has become the target of CCP’s cruel ‘Debt Trap Diplomacy’, major examples being Pakistan (so called “all weather friend” of China), Sri Lanka, Mongolia and even Nepal. All these countries were exploited by China for its own personal gains, rendering them reliable on China and eventually losing access to their own natural resources and infrastructure. We, at Red Lantern Analytica, would like to alert Bhutan to not fall trap to China’s dubious claims and reciprocate the gusto which India has always shown in trying to resolve Bhutan’s conflicts with China. Bhutan must take its own clear stand, uninfluenced by the hinges of China. The Doklam issue is a sensitive geopolitical issue of which Bhutan is an indispensable part; therefore Prime Minister Lotay Tshering must take into consideration the interests of both India and Bhutan before caving in to the whims and fancies of the CCP.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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Statement on Russia Suspending the New START
MEDIA COVERAGEMARCH 2, 2023
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Statement on Russia Suspending the New START

Russia’s participation in the ‘New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty’ (New START) has been “suspended” according to Vladimir Putin, the president of Russia. As the Russia-Ukraine war approaches its first anniversary, this declaration is worrisome for global arms control and non-proliferation efforts. The New START is an upgraded version of the Strategic Arms Limitation Talks (SALT) and START I and II agreements. It is the only remaining arms reduction treaty between the former Cold War enemies that limits the number of nuclear warheads that can be deployed by Russia and the United States to 1550. With the suspension from Russia, formal mechanisms like data sharing, verification, and routine inspections which are essential for transparency, stability, and predictability in a nuclear partnership on both sides—cannot take place. Russia said that it couldn’t conduct inspections on American soil because of Western sanctions, like closing American airspace to Russian planes and making it harder for Russians to get visas. The real reason, however is evident, that being the United States and NATO’s support to Ukraine. This is not the first time Mr. Putin has used nuclear threats during the Ukraine conflict, but this time, he is attempting to instill fear in the West about what he may do if they continue to back Ukraine. Even while he has stated that Russia will not expand its strategic nuclear weapons beyond the current New START limits, these are empty words that no one can believe upon. In addition to the possibility of a buildup of nuclear weapons, the suspension calls for a potential “free-for-all” nuclear arms race, which is as terrifying as it sounds. If not stopped, this may instigate countries such as Russia and China to speed up on nuclear warhead production. The most dangerous weapons ever created by humans are nuclear bombs. One single nuclear bomb may destroy an entire city in a matter of seconds, killing millions and destroying the natural environment and the lives of future generations. Due to the inherent threats posed by such weapons, it is crucial that international agreements like the New START be adhered to. Even though nuclear weapons have only been deployed twice, in the 1945 bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, around 13,400 nuclear warheads supposedly remain in the world today, and more than 2,000 nuclear tests have been undertaken. We will like to remind that Disarmament is the best defense against such threats, but achieving this objective has proven to be a formidable obstacle in a world where mistrust and insecurity between nations are increasing daily. We call upon the premiers of all the countries including Mr. Putin to avoid giving comments that can be detrimental to the world peace.

TR
Team Red Lantern AnalyticaAnalyst
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